{"id":3504,"date":"2026-03-24T21:09:43","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T21:09:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/?p=3504"},"modified":"2026-04-10T16:25:27","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T16:25:27","slug":"krizes-klusa-faze-un-vel-nerealizetais-potencials","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/la-fase-silenciosa-de-la-crisis-y-el-potencial-aun-no-realizado\/","title":{"rendered":"Sp\u0101nija 2026. Kr\u012bzes sl\u0113pt\u0101 f\u0101ze un v\u0113l nerealiz\u0113tais m\u0101jok\u013cu cenu pieauguma potenci\u0101ls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sp\u0101nijas nekustam\u0101 \u012bpa\u0161uma tirg\u016b veidojas situ\u0101cija, par kuru daudzi run\u0101, ta\u010du tikai retais to interpret\u0113 pareizi. Tiek lietots v\u0101rds kr\u012bze, vilktas paral\u0113les ar 2008. gadu, prognoz\u0113ts cenu kritums. Tom\u0113r pa\u0161reiz\u0113j\u0101 realit\u0101te ir b\u016btiski at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bga.<\/p>\n<p>J\u0101, m\u0113s atrodamies kr\u012bz\u0113. Ta\u010du t\u0101 nav sabrukuma kr\u012bze. T\u0101 ir defic\u012bta kr\u012bze.<\/p>\n<p>2008. gad\u0101 tirgus sabruka p\u0101rm\u0113r\u012bgas kredit\u0113\u0161anas un spekul\u0101ciju d\u0113\u013c. Bija p\u0101r\u0101k daudz naudas un p\u0101r\u0101k daudz \u012bpa\u0161umu, kas tika ieg\u0101d\u0101ti bez re\u0101la piepras\u012bjuma. Kad sist\u0113ma vairs nesp\u0113ja to iztur\u0113t, cenas s\u0101ka strauji kristies.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160odien situ\u0101cija ir pret\u0113ja. P\u0101rprodukcijas nav. Past\u0101v struktur\u0101ls m\u0101jok\u013cu tr\u016bkums. Un tas piln\u012bb\u0101 maina tirgus noteikumus.<\/p>\n<p>No pirm\u0101 acu uzmetiena var \u0161\u0137ist, ka cenas jau ir sasniegu\u0161as v\u0113sturiskos maksimumus. Saska\u0146\u0101 ar Idealista datiem 2025. gada beig\u0101s vid\u0113j\u0101 cena par kvadr\u0101tmetru Sp\u0101nij\u0101 bija aptuveni 2 639 eiro, nomin\u0101li p\u0101rsniedzot 2007. un 2008. gada augst\u0101kos r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101jus.<\/p>\n<p>Tom\u0113r, ja \u0146em v\u0113r\u0101 kop\u0161 2008. gada uzkr\u0101to infl\u0101ciju, aina main\u0101s. P\u0101rr\u0113\u0137inot m\u016bsdienu naudas v\u0113rt\u012bb\u0101, iepriek\u0161\u0113jais tirgus maksimums atbilstu aptuveni 3 000 eiro par kvadr\u0101tmetru.<\/p>\n<p>Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka re\u0101laj\u0101 izteiksm\u0113 tirgus v\u0113l nav sasniedzis savus v\u0113sturiskos maksimumus. Tas joproj\u0101m ir apm\u0113ram 10 l\u012bdz 15 procentus zem tiem.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160eit ir b\u016btisk\u0101kais punkts. Daudzi uzskata, ka m\u0101joklis ir k\u013cuvis nepieejams. Ta\u010du probl\u0113ma nav tikai cenu pieaugum\u0101. Iz\u0161\u0137iro\u0161ais faktors ir pirktsp\u0113jas samazin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0113d\u0113jos gados ir pieaugu\u0161as gandr\u012bz visas izdevumu kategorijas. P\u0101rtika ir k\u013cuvusi iev\u0113rojami d\u0101rg\u0101ka, ener\u0123ijas izmaksas atsevi\u0161\u0137os segmentos gandr\u012bz dubultoju\u0161\u0101s, ar\u012b pakalpojumi ir sad\u0101rdzin\u0101ju\u0161ies. Nekustam\u0101 \u012bpa\u0161uma cenas savuk\u0101rt augu\u0161as l\u0113n\u0101k nek\u0101 daudzas pamata vajadz\u012bbu izmaksas.<\/p>\n<p>Tom\u0113r tie\u0161i m\u0101joklis tiek uztverts k\u0101 visd\u0101rg\u0101kais akt\u012bvs. Iemesls ir ac\u012bmredzams. T\u0101 ir liel\u0101k\u0101 finan\u0161u invest\u012bcija \u0123imenes dz\u012bv\u0113. To nevar aizst\u0101t vai da\u013c\u0113ji samazin\u0101t. Un ieg\u0101de ir atkar\u012bga ne tikai no uzkr\u0101jumiem, bet ar\u012b no stabila ien\u0101kumu l\u012bme\u0146a un bankas apstiprin\u0101juma.<\/p>\n<p>Uz \u0161\u012b fona veidojas galvenais m\u016bsdienu tirgus disbalanss. Piepras\u012bjums saglab\u0101jas augsts un turpina pieaugt. Iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju skaits palielin\u0101s, m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bbu strukt\u016bra main\u0101s, arvien vair\u0101k cilv\u0113ku dz\u012bvo atsevi\u0161\u0137i, un \u0101rvalstu pirc\u0113ju interese joproj\u0101m ir sp\u0113c\u012bga.<\/p>\n<p>Pied\u0101v\u0101jums nesp\u0113j sekot \u0161im piepras\u012bjumam. Jaunb\u016bvju apjoms ir nepietiekams, \u012bpa\u0161i piepras\u012bt\u0101kajos re\u0123ionos. Administrat\u012bvie ierobe\u017eojumi un b\u016bvniec\u012bbai pieejam\u0101s zemes tr\u016bkums situ\u0101ciju v\u0113l vair\u0101k pastiprina.<\/p>\n<p>Rezult\u0101t\u0101 tirgus neatdziest, k\u0101 tas bija iepriek\u0161\u0113jos ciklos. Tas pak\u0101peniski izspie\u017e pirc\u0113jus. Cilv\u0113ki nepamet tirgu, bet ir spiesti piel\u0101got savas gaidas. Vi\u0146i p\u0101rvietojas t\u0101l\u0101k no centriem, samazina pras\u012bbas, atliek pirkumu vai apvieno ien\u0101kumus.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160\u012b tendence jau ir redzama. Arvien ret\u0101k \u012bpa\u0161umu ieg\u0101d\u0101jas viens pats. Divi ien\u0101kumi k\u013c\u016bst par normu. Pat ar pietiekamu pirmo iemaksu bankas bie\u017ei atsaka finans\u0113jumu nepietiekama ien\u0101kumu l\u012bme\u0146a d\u0113\u013c.<\/p>\n<p>Faktiski m\u0113s nov\u0113rojam jaunu kr\u012bzes formu. Nevis cenu kr\u012bzi, bet pieejam\u012bbas kr\u012bzi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160aj\u0101 kontekst\u0101 k\u013c\u016bst saprotams turpm\u0101k\u0101s izaugsmes potenci\u0101ls. Racion\u0101la ekonomisk\u0101 anal\u012bze r\u0101da, ka pa\u0161reiz\u0113jais cenu l\u012bmenis v\u0113l neatbilst re\u0101lajam l\u012bdzsvaram.<\/p>\n<p>Tirgus nav piln\u012bb\u0101 kompens\u0113jis p\u0113d\u0113jo gadu infl\u0101ciju.<\/p>\n<p>Eirozonas naudas masa turpina pieaugt, kas struktur\u0101li atbalsta re\u0101lo akt\u012bvu v\u0113rt\u012bbu.<\/p>\n<p>Un struktur\u0101lo m\u0101jok\u013cu defic\u012btu nevar \u0101tri nov\u0113rst.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160o faktoru kombin\u0101cija rada notur\u012bgu aug\u0161upejo\u0161u spiedienu. Pa\u0161reiz\u0113jos apst\u0101k\u013cos cenu pieauguma potenci\u0101ls 30 l\u012bdz 40 procentu robe\u017e\u0101s neizskat\u0101s k\u0101 p\u0101rm\u0113r\u012bgi optimistisks scen\u0101rijs, bet gan k\u0101 lo\u0123isks struktur\u0101l\u0101s tendences turpin\u0101jums.<\/p>\n<p>Eiropas pirc\u0113jam tas ir b\u016btisks secin\u0101jums. Sp\u0101nijas m\u0101jok\u013cu tirgus atrodas izaugsmes f\u0101z\u0113, ta\u010du tas nav p\u0101rkarsis. Re\u0101laj\u0101 izteiksm\u0113 tas joproj\u0101m ir zem v\u0113sturiskajiem maksimumiem un balst\u0101s uz sp\u0113c\u012bgu piepras\u012bjumu.<\/p>\n<p>M\u0101jok\u013ca ieg\u0101de \u0161obr\u012bd \u013cauj saglab\u0101t kapit\u0101lu infl\u0101cijas apst\u0101k\u013cos, piedal\u012bties turpm\u0101kaj\u0101 v\u0113rt\u012bbas pieaugum\u0101 un nepiecie\u0161am\u012bbas gad\u012bjum\u0101 g\u016bt ien\u0101kumus no \u012bres.<\/p>\n<p>Vienlaikus strauja sabrukuma risks, k\u0101ds bija 2008. gad\u0101, ir iev\u0113rojami zem\u0101ks, jo \u0161\u012bs kr\u012bzes struktur\u0101lie iemesli pa\u0161laik nepast\u0101v.<\/p>\n<p>M\u0113s atrodamies sal\u012bdzino\u0161i ret\u0101 situ\u0101cij\u0101. Tirgus jau aug, bet v\u0113l nav sasniedzis savu pilno potenci\u0101lu.<\/p>\n<p>Galvenais secin\u0101jums ir vienk\u0101r\u0161s. Pa\u0161reiz\u0113jais nekustam\u0101 \u012bpa\u0161uma cenu l\u012bmenis Sp\u0101nij\u0101 nav cikla virsotne. Tas ir posms pla\u0161\u0101k\u0101 un joproj\u0101m notieko\u0161\u0101 izaugsmes proces\u0101.<\/p>\n<p>Sebastian Pereira, AICAT 8139, 2026<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0421\u0435\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u044f \u043d\u0430 \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043a\u0435 \u043d\u0435\u0434\u0432\u0438\u0436\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u0432 \u0418\u0441\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0438\u0440\u0443\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0441\u0438\u0442\u0443\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f, \u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0443\u044e \u0431\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0438\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u043e\u0431\u0441\u0443\u0436\u0434\u0430\u0435\u0442, \u043d\u043e \u0434\u0430\u043b\u0435\u043a\u043e \u043d\u0435 \u0432\u0441\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0430\u044e\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0438\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e. \u0427\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e \u0433\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0440\u044f\u0442 \u043e \u043a\u0440\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0441\u0435, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0442 \u043f\u0430\u0440\u0430\u043b\u043b\u0435\u043b\u0438 \u0441 2008 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u043e\u043c, \u0436\u0434\u0443\u0442 \u043f\u0430\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0446\u0435\u043d. \u041d\u043e \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0441\u0435\u0439\u0447\u0430\u0441 \u0441\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e \u0438\u043d\u0430\u044f. \u041c\u044b \u0434\u0435\u0439\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e \u043d\u0430\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043c\u0441\u044f \u0432 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0441\u0435. \u0422\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u043e \u044d\u0442\u043e \u043d\u0435 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0441 \u043e\u0431\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0430, \u0430 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0441 \u0434\u0435\u0444\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0442\u0430. \u0412 2008 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043e\u043a \u0440\u0443\u0445\u043d\u0443\u043b \u0438\u0437-\u0437\u0430 \u0438\u0437\u0431\u044b\u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043a\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0438\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3505,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3504"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3504\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3505"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gruporeunion.es\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}